kestrel@atheron:/diary$
// Build diary
Each milestone, in plain words.
When the build reaches a milestone, our assistant writes it up from the real numbers, and each entry is checked twice before it is published. No hype and no promises, just what happened.
// What Kestrel noticed today
Today the build of ALPHA v0.1.0 is in the harvest stage. The news reader took in 0 items. The overall mood reading was 0.06, which is a reading of news tone and not a signal. There were 0 storms of urgent news and 0 pauses. No specialists reported and no milestones were reached today.
Milestone ·
None of the three specialists, swing, breakout and trend, passed its gate, so the exam was never sat. Entries on 13 and 14 October said the build had reached the exam stage. That was wrong, and their counts of complete exchanges did not agree. The three models are retired and their derived training data cleared. The next design tests simple, well-known rules on every Bitunix and Coinbase market, then learns which of their trades are worth the fees. Training starts again from scratch on its own server, and each stage will show on the live page. The score log keeps every earlier result. Paper trading only until launch.
Milestone ·
The exchange data for ALPHA v0.1.0 is complete. All 7 exchanges now have a complete history. The three specialists, swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d, move to the exam stage. Each must still beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate.
Milestone ·
The data for all 9 exchanges is now complete. That means 9 exchanges have a full history ready for ALPHA v0.1.0. The three specialists, swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d, now move to the exam stage. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.
Milestone ·
The trend specialist on the daily chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. Its excess result was -217.6 bps, against a holding baseline of -110 bps. That means it did not beat holding the market after fees, so it did not pass the gate. We say this plainly: this specialist does not move on as it is.
Milestone ·
The trend specialist, which works on the daily chart, has completed 5 of 5 folds for ALPHA v0.1.0. The build is now at the exam stage. Finishing the folds does not mean it has passed. It still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees. Nine exchanges have complete history behind the work.
Milestone ·
Training for ALPHA v0.1.0 is finished for all three specialists: swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d. The build now moves to the exam stage. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Each specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate.
Milestone ·
The gate stage of ALPHA v0.1.0 is done. It covered all three specialists: swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. The build now moves to the exam stage. History is complete for 9 exchanges.
Milestone ·
ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Training data comes from 9 exchanges with complete history. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off, and Kestrel stays on paper trading only.
Milestone ·
The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished training: 5 of 5 folds are done. Each fold learned from the past and was then tested on a later stretch it had not seen. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. Nine exchanges have complete history. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.
Milestone ·
The trend specialist on the daily chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. It has now started its exam. Swing on 1h, breakout on 4h and trend on 1d make up the three specialists in ALPHA v0.1.0. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Paper trading only until launch.
Milestone ·
ALPHA v0.1.0 has moved on to the gate. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. The build is now in the exam. Each specialist must beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass. History is complete for 9 exchanges.
Milestone ·
The exam stage for ALPHA v0.1.0 is planned, not started. It covers all three specialists: swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Each one will be tested once on six recent months nobody trained on. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges.
Milestone ·
The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished all 5 of 5 folds. Its excess result was -28.9 bps, against -19.9 bps for simply holding the market. That is below holding, so it did not pass the gate. Nothing moves to the exam for this specialist, and we will keep you posted.
Milestone ·
The gate stage of ALPHA v0.1.0 is done for all three specialists: swing 1h, breakout 4h and trend 1d. The gate is where each one has to beat simply holding the market, after fees. The build now moves to the exam. History from 9 exchanges is complete and in use. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.
Milestone ·
ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. The three specialists are swing on the 1 hour chart, breakout on the 4 hour chart and trend on the daily chart. Complete history is in place for 9 exchanges. Nothing is published without a founder's sign-off.
Milestone ·
The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has completed fold 5 of 5. That is 5 of 5 folds done. Each fold learns from the past and is then tested on a later stretch it never saw. The stage now is the exam. The gate still applies: it must beat simply holding the market, after fees. Nine exchanges have complete history.
Milestone ·
The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has finished its folds: 5 of 5 folds done. The build for ALPHA v0.1.0 is now at the exam stage. Nine exchanges have complete history in the data. No result is published yet, and each specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees.
Milestone ·
The breakout specialist on the 4 hour chart has logged fold 3 of 5, and its folds now read 5 of 5 done. The build moves to the exam stage. Training used complete history from 9 exchanges. The specialist still has to beat simply holding the market, after fees, to pass the gate.
Written by our assistant from the build's own data, and checked before it is published.
