Skip to content
KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/versions$

// Versions

Every release, on record.

Exam results, changes and model cards.

Each Kestrel release gets a model card: what it is, what it was tested on, how it did in its exam, and what changed. Nothing is published until it has passed.

// Net after costs per version

Every version, compared

Each training run is a version. Each one is set against the one before it, on the strategies both tested, so you can see whether Kestrel is getting better or worse.

No versions with results yet.

// Model card

The first release

ATON Kestrel ALPHA v0.1.0Not out yet

Parts
Market models and explainer, versioned together
Specialists
Tried so far: swing, breakout and trend, retired on 16 October after none passed. The next try filters simple rules on every Bitunix and Coinbase market.
Learns from
Years of exchange candles
The gate
Make money after real costs on unseen history, within a drawdown cap
The exam
Six recent months kept out of training, sat once
Training
Starting again from scratch, on its own server

The exam has not been sat: no specialist has passed its gate yet. Every try is in the score log, and the live build shows where it is now.

Live

Where the build is

ALPHA v0.1.0
  1. Data gatheredNow

    Years of exchange history, turned into examples to learn from.

    since Oct 24

  2. TrainingPlanned

    Each rule is tested alone, then Kestrel learns which of its trades to take.

  3. GatePlanned

    Each must make money after real costs, on data it never saw, within a drawdown cap.

  4. ExamPlanned

    One test on six recent months nobody trained on.

  5. Language modelPlanned

    The model that explains each decision in plain words.

  6. PackagedPlanned

    Release notes and evidence, ready for review.

  7. PublishedPlanned

    Live for members once a founder approves it.

An estimate appears once the first fold is done.

Versions

Each version is tested on six months it never saw and published only with a founder's approval. Members pick a version for each bot.

  1. ALPHA v0.1.0

    Being built now

  2. BETA

    After ALPHA

  3. Full release

    At launch, without a label

Paper trading only until launch.

// How versions work

Numbered, kept and retired

Patch: weekly retrain

The same model retrained on new data. It rides along inside the version you chose, with no action from you.

Minor: new strategies

New inputs or strategies. You are told, and you choose when to switch.

Major: a new design

A new model design. You are told, and you choose when to switch.

Three kept, 90 days' notice

The last three minor versions stay available. Before one retires, you get 90 days' notice.

// Changelog

Released versions

No version is published yet. The first will be ALPHA v0.1.0. Its training starts again from scratch on its own server.

Help pick what's next

Vote on what Kestrel learns after v0.1.