Skip to content
KESTREL
EN

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 2x

AAVE Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 2x leverage, USDTTrend follow · AAVEUSDTScratch +0.04
Entry
135.43
Stop
139.20
Target
130.50
Talon locks
1
Confidence
60%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.28
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 134.02next
  2. 135.20locked 01:06:12 UTC
  3. 135.28safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 135.28, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

Daily down 13.55% over 24 bars, RSI14 36.37, EMA20 slope -2.9%, price 10.4% below EMA20 and 6.7% below EMA50. 4h ADX 28 with price at range20 low 0.218 and RSI 34. 5m and 4h momentum still soft. Book imbalance mildly bid but not enough to reverse the trend.

What would undo it

A close above 139.2 on the 4h chart, reclaiming the 4h EMA20, would invalidate this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 21 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 84 of 99
  • Funding +0.0082%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 135.43
  2. Sell filled 135.43
  3. Safety stop placed 139.20
  4. Exit order cancelled 135.20: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 139.20 to 135.28: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 135.28

Every re-read

  1. unchanged63%136.29
  2. stronger68%136.50
  3. unchanged62%136.21
  4. stronger68%136.20
  5. unchanged62%136.15
  6. stronger68%135.98
  7. stronger68%135.67
  8. stronger69%135.91

Simulated, paper only, not advice