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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 1.1x

ADA Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 1.1x leverage, USDTTrend follow · ADAUSDTScratch +0.01
Entry
0.2014
Stop
0.2080
Target
0.1950
Talon locks
1
Confidence
68%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.29
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.1995next
  2. 0.2011locked 03:45:08 UTC
  3. 0.2012safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.2012, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

ADA is in a downtrend across 5m, 1h and 4h frames: RSI 14 is 38.93, 36.32 and 33.83 respectively, all below 50, with price below the 20 EMA on each timeframe. The 4h EMA 20 at 0.2095 slopes down 1.33% over 5 bars, and price is 2.56% below it. ADX 14 at 35.53 shows a strong trend. Support sits at the 20 bar low of 0.2001 on 4h and 1h.

What would undo it

Price closes above 0.2080 on the 4h, invalidating the downtrend.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 61 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 77 of 99
  • Funding +0.0001%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.2014
  2. Sell filled 0.2014
  3. Safety stop placed 0.2080
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.2011: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.2080 to 0.2012: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 0.2012

Every re-read

  1. unchanged68%0.2012
  2. unchanged68%0.2012
  3. unchanged68%0.2018
  4. weaker62%0.2019
  5. weaker62%0.2016
  6. unchanged68%0.2018

Simulated, paper only, not advice