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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 2.5x

ADA Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 2.5x leverage, USDTTrend follow · ADAUSDTScratch +0.03
Entry
0.2029
Stop
0.2090
Target
0.1970
Talon locks
1
Confidence
60%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.28
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.2006next
  2. 0.2026locked 01:31:42 UTC
  3. 0.2027safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.2027, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

4h ADX 34.6 confirms downtrend; price is -8.1% below 1d EMA50 and -2.0% below 4h EMA20, both slopes negative. RSI14 at 36.5 on 4h and 36.6 on 1d shows no oversold bounce yet. 5m, 1h and 4h all lean bearish. Market mood neutral, no conflict.

What would undo it

A close above 4h EMA20 at 0.2100 would break the downtrend structure and invalidate this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 37 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 45 of 99
  • Funding +0.0023%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.2029
  2. Sell filled 0.2029
  3. Safety stop placed 0.2090
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.2026: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.2090 to 0.2027: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 0.2027

Every re-read

  1. stronger66%0.2040
  2. stronger70%0.2043
  3. unchanged62%0.2041
  4. unchanged62%0.2038
  5. stronger68%0.2031
  6. stronger68%0.2037
  7. stronger68%0.2042
  8. stronger68%0.2036
  9. unchanged62%0.2032
  10. stronger68%0.2031

Simulated, paper only, not advice