ARB Short signal
Perpetual, USDTTrend follow · ARBUSDTScratch +0.01- Entry
- 0.1678
- Stop
- 0.1712
- Target
- 0.1629
- Talon locks
- 0
- Confidence
- 58%
- Horizon
- 1d
- Exit
- Kestrel Talon
- The same trade held
- +0.28
- Opened
- Closed
Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.
Replay
The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.
Kestrel Talon
- 0.1676next
- 0.1678entry
Talon closed before costs were covered
Why Kestrel called it
4h ADX 31 with price 6% below EMA50 and EMA20 slope -1.77% confirms trend_down. 1h and 1d also below EMAs, RSI 43/39 no recovery. 5m spike to 0.168 looks like noise given order book imbalance -0.04 favoring asks.
What would undo it
A close above 0.17112 (4h 20-bar high) would invalidate the short.
What drove it
- 1 h move, rank 68 of 99
- 24 h move, rank 13 of 99
- Funding +0.0048%
Orders
- Sell order placed 0.1678
- Sell filled 0.1678
- Safety stop placed 0.1712
- Exit moved 0.1712 to 0.1676: reversal tightener
- Exit filled 0.1677
Every re-read
Kestrel did not re-read this one.
Simulated, paper only, not advice