BTC Short signal
Perpetual, 4.9x leverage, USDTTrend follow · BTCUSDTScratch +0.01- Entry
- 79,728
- Stop
- 80,920
- Target
- 79,346
- Talon locks
- 1
- Confidence
- 68%
- Horizon
- 4h
- Exit
- Kestrel Talon
- The same trade held
- +0.27
- Opened
- Closed
Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.
Replay
The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.
Kestrel Talon
- 78,846next
- 79,601locked 02:20:59 UTC
- 79,643safety stop
Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 79,643, +0.11% locked
Why Kestrel called it
BTC is declining on the 4h, 1h and 5m frames with RSI 14 at 36.3 and 32.8 showing downward momentum. The 4h close at 80114.3 is 1.04pct below the EMA 20 at 80957.6 and 1.79pct below the EMA 50 at 81578.1. Price sits in the lower third of the 20-bar range at 0.328, near the 4h low of 79809.2 after a -4.68pct fall over 24 bars. The 1d is down 5.56pct over 24 bars with volume at 0.51x average. The 4h ADX at 33.61 confirms a strong directional trend.
What would undo it
A break above the 4h EMA 20 at 80957.6 or the 1h high of 80920.0 invalidates this short.
What drove it
- 1 h move, rank 57 of 99
- 24 h move, rank 78 of 99
- Funding +0.0077%
Orders
- Sell order placed 79,728
- Sell filled 79,728
- Safety stop placed 80,920
- Exit order cancelled 79,601: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit moved 80,920 to 79,643: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit filled 79,643
Every re-read
- weaker58%79,820
- unchanged68%79,780
Simulated, paper only, not advice