BTC Short signal
Perpetual, 5.1x leverage, USDTTrend follow · BTCUSDTScratch +0.02- Entry
- 79,572
- Stop
- 80,700
- Target
- 79,000
- Talon locks
- 1
- Confidence
- 68%
- Horizon
- 4h
- Exit
- Kestrel Talon
- The same trade held
- +0.32
- Opened
- Closed
Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.
Replay
The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.
Kestrel Talon
- 79,062next
- 79,421locked 03:50:56 UTC
- 79,471safety stop
Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 79,471, +0.13% locked
Why Kestrel called it
BTC is trading below its 4h and 1h EMA 20 and 50, with the 4h close at 80114.3 down 4.68% in 24h. The 4h ADX 14 is strong at 33.61 and RSI 14 down to 36.33, confirming downward momentum. The 1h and 5m frames also trend down with negative slopes on their EMAs. The daily frame shows weakness at 80114.3 near its 1d low of 79178.6. All three shorter frames align bearish. A short targets the 1d support zone.
What would undo it
Close above 80700 invalidates the short and would signal resumption of near-term upside.
What drove it
- 1 h move, rank 41 of 99
- 24 h move, rank 65 of 99
- Funding +0.0077%
Orders
- Sell order placed 79,572
- Sell filled 79,572
- Safety stop placed 80,700
- Exit order cancelled 79,421: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit moved 80,700 to 79,471: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit filled 79,471
Every re-read
- weaker58%79,505
- unchanged68%79,444
Simulated, paper only, not advice