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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 2x

BTC Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 2x leverage, USDTRange trade · BTCUSDTScratch +0.01
Entry
79,488
Stop
80,920
Target
79,179
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.27
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 78,877next
  2. 79,361locked 03:53:49 UTC
  3. 79,403safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 79,403, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

The 4h frame shows price at 80114.3 closing below the 20-bar low of 79178.6 and retreating; the 1h RSI is 32.79 and price is 1.17% below EMA 50. ADX 33.61 on 4h signals directional strength. The 5m, 1h and 4h all trend lower with momentum aligned. Daily remains weak at -5.56% over 24 bars. A short targets the 4h low near 79178.6.

What would undo it

A break above 80920 on the 4h would invalidate the short and suggest a move toward 81578.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 41 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 64 of 99
  • Funding +0.0077%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 79,488
  2. Sell filled 79,488
  3. Safety stop placed 80,920
  4. Exit order cancelled 79,361: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 80,920 to 79,403: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 79,403

Every re-read

  1. unchanged62%79,683
  2. unchanged60%79,683
  3. unchanged60%79,665
  4. unchanged61%79,599
  5. unchanged62%79,516

Simulated, paper only, not advice