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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 6.8x

BTC Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 6.8x leverage, USDTTrend follow · BTCUSDTWithdrawn +1.65
Entry
79,852
Stop
80,700
Target
78,200
Talon locks
1
Confidence
57%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Withdrawn
The same trade held
+0.49
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 78,968next
  2. 79,725locked 01:38:55 UTC
  3. 79,767safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 79,767, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

4h ADX 32.5 with price below EMA20/50/200 and EMA20 slope -0.344 pct confirms downtrend. 5m RSI 32.85 and BB %B -0.158 show momentum extending lower. 1h also below all EMAs. Daily at range20 position 0.214, near recent 20-bar low 79178.6.

What would undo it

A close above 80700 on the 1h chart would invalidate this short call.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 67 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 73 of 99
  • Funding +0.0087%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 79,852
  2. Sell filled 79,852
  3. Safety stop placed 80,700
  4. Exit moved 80,700 to 80,277: withdrawn
  5. Exit order cancelled 79,725: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit moved 80,277 to 79,767: costs covered, breakeven
  7. Exit moved 79,767 to 79,711: milestone 2 50
  8. Exit moved 79,711 to 79,697: milestone 2 50
  9. Exit filled 79,697

Every re-read

  1. stronger62%80,114
  2. stronger68%80,067
  3. stronger68%80,132
  4. unchanged60%80,099
  5. unchanged60%80,128
  6. stronger62%79,942
  7. stronger62%80,045
  8. withdrawn54%80,080

Simulated, paper only, not advice