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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 4.7x

BTC Short signal

BitunixPerpetual, 4.7x leverage, USDTTrend follow · BTCUSDTScratch +0.01
Entry
79,729
Stop
80,960
Target
78,200
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.32
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 78,831next
  2. 79,578locked 02:21:15 UTC
  3. 79,628safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 79,628, +0.13% locked

Why Kestrel called it

4h ADX 33.6 with price -3.77% below EMA200 and -1.79% below EMA50, both slopes negative. RSI 36 on 4h and 40 on 1h confirm downward momentum. 5m volume 4x avg on last two bars pushing lower. ETF inflows fading and retail deposits at 6m high suggest distribution.

What would undo it

A close above EMA20 on the 4h at 80957 would invalidate the short setup.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 57 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 78 of 99
  • Funding +0.0077%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 79,729
  2. Sell filled 79,729
  3. Safety stop placed 80,960
  4. Exit order cancelled 79,578: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 80,960 to 79,628: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 79,628

Every re-read

  1. unchanged58%79,820
  2. stronger68%79,780

Simulated, paper only, not advice