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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 4.3x

DOT Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 4.3x leverage, USDTTrend follow · DOTUSDTLoss −4.69
Entry
1.012
Stop
1.030
Target
0.9900
Talon locks
0
Confidence
68%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Time up
The same trade held
−0.82
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 1.011next
  2. 1.012entry

Talon closed before costs were covered

Why Kestrel called it

DOT broke below 1.0173 on 4h and trades at the 1.0115 20-bar low, 3.89% below the 4h EMA20 at 1.0695. RSI 34.3 and ADX 24.8 confirm downtrend on 4h. 5m and 1h agree with momentum south at RSI 28.3 and 44.4. Daily is down 12.5%, establishing lower lows. Expect continued descent to recent support.

What would undo it

Price closes above 1.0299 on 4h invalidates this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 8 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 87 of 99
  • Funding -0.0104%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 1.012
  2. Sell filled 1.012
  3. Safety stop placed 1.030
  4. Exit order cancelled 1.030: time up
  5. Closed at market 1.016: time up

Every re-read

  1. weaker62%1.016
  2. unchanged68%1.017
  3. weaker62%1.020
  4. unchanged68%1.018
  5. unchanged68%1.016
  6. weaker60%1.018
  7. unchanged68%1.016
  8. weaker62%1.025
  9. weaker62%1.017
  10. weaker62%1.015
  11. unchanged68%1.013
  12. unchanged68%1.018
  13. weaker62%1.019
  14. unchanged65%1.018
  15. weaker62%1.013
  16. unchanged68%1.017
  17. weaker62%1.019

Simulated, paper only, not advice