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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 6.4x

DOT Short signal

KuCoinPerpetual, 6.4x leverage, USDTTrend follow · DOTUSDTWin +0.12
Entry
1.017
Stop
1.029
Target
0.9950
Talon locks
1
Confidence
68%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.37
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 1.006next
  2. 1.015locked 02:20:58 UTC
  3. 1.016safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 1.016, +0.15% locked

Why Kestrel called it

DOT is in a downtrend on 4h and 1h frames with price at 1.0173, below EMA 20 at 1.0742 (down 2.33% over 5 bars) and EMA 50 at 1.1081. RSI 14 stands at 36 on 4h, showing weakness. The 1h frame confirms with ADX 32.95 and price below both EMAs. Daily has fallen 14.31% in 24 hours and closed at 1.0475 with RSI 39.53. Support near 1.012 and resistance at 1.0475 frame the move. Funding is negative at -0.87% per 8h, favouring shorts.

What would undo it

Close above 1.0285 invalidates the short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 8 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 85 of 99
  • Funding -0.0104%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 1.017
  2. Sell filled 1.017
  3. Safety stop placed 1.029
  4. Exit order cancelled 1.015: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 1.029 to 1.016: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 1.016

Every re-read

  1. weaker62%1.020
  2. unchanged68%1.018
  3. unchanged68%1.016

Simulated, paper only, not advice