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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 1.6x

DOT Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 1.6x leverage, USDTTrend follow · DOTUSDTScratch −0.01
Entry
1.021
Stop
1.044
Target
0.9930
Talon locks
1
Confidence
60%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.29
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 1.009next
  2. 1.019locked 01:30:56 UTC
  3. 1.020safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 1.020, +0.12% locked

Why Kestrel called it

4h RSI 36 and price -11.2% on the day, sitting at 13.7% of its 20-bar range with all EMAs sloping down. 1h and 5m confirm bearish momentum. Daily -14.3% over 24 bars and BB %B at 0.02 show sustained selling. News includes an urgent negative wallet-breach headline.

What would undo it

A 4h close above 1.044 (4h EMA20 region) would negate the bearish case.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 30 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 70 of 99
  • Funding -0.0104%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 1.021
  2. Sell filled 1.021
  3. Safety stop placed 1.044
  4. Exit order cancelled 1.019: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 1.044 to 1.020: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 1.020

Every re-read

  1. stronger68%1.028
  2. stronger68%1.030
  3. unchanged62%1.031
  4. stronger68%1.027
  5. stronger68%1.028
  6. unchanged62%1.027
  7. unchanged60%1.023
  8. unchanged60%1.024
  9. stronger68%1.023

Simulated, paper only, not advice