DOT Short signal
- Entry
- 1.021
- Stop
- 1.044
- Target
- 0.9930
- Talon locks
- 1
- Confidence
- 60%
- Horizon
- 1d
- Exit
- Kestrel Talon
- The same trade held
- +0.29
- Opened
- Closed
Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.
Replay
The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.
Kestrel Talon
- 1.009next
- 1.019locked 01:30:56 UTC
- 1.020safety stop
Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 1.020, +0.12% locked
Why Kestrel called it
4h RSI 36 and price -11.2% on the day, sitting at 13.7% of its 20-bar range with all EMAs sloping down. 1h and 5m confirm bearish momentum. Daily -14.3% over 24 bars and BB %B at 0.02 show sustained selling. News includes an urgent negative wallet-breach headline.
What would undo it
A 4h close above 1.044 (4h EMA20 region) would negate the bearish case.
What drove it
- 1 h move, rank 30 of 99
- 24 h move, rank 70 of 99
- Funding -0.0104%
Orders
- Sell order placed 1.021
- Sell filled 1.021
- Safety stop placed 1.044
- Exit order cancelled 1.019: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit moved 1.044 to 1.020: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit filled 1.020
Every re-read
- stronger68%1.028
- stronger68%1.030
- unchanged62%1.031
- stronger68%1.027
- stronger68%1.028
- unchanged62%1.027
- unchanged60%1.023
- unchanged60%1.024
- stronger68%1.023
Simulated, paper only, not advice