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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 2.4x

DOT Short signal

BitunixPerpetual, 2.4x leverage, USDTTrend follow · DOTUSDTScratch +0.01
Entry
1.016
Stop
1.048
Target
0.9880
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.37
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 1.006next
  2. 1.013locked 02:52:40 UTC
  3. 1.014safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 1.014, +0.15% locked

Why Kestrel called it

DOT down 12.5% on 1d and 10.1% on 4h, all EMAs sloping down hard. 4h RSI 34, ADX 24.9 confirm trend. 5m and 1h EMAs also negative. Price near 20-bar low on 4h (range position 0.086). Negative wallet breach headline adds pressure.

What would undo it

A close above 1.0478 on the 4h would break the recent high and invalidate the short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 8 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 87 of 99
  • Funding -0.0104%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 1.016
  2. Sell filled 1.016
  3. Safety stop placed 1.048
  4. Exit order cancelled 1.013: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 1.048 to 1.014: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 1.014

Every re-read

  1. unchanged62%1.020
  2. stronger68%1.018
  3. stronger68%1.016
  4. unchanged60%1.018
  5. stronger68%1.016

Simulated, paper only, not advice