FIL Short signal
Perpetual, 3.3x leverage, USDTTrend follow · FILUSDTWin +2.72- Entry
- 0.9154
- Stop
- 0.9305
- Target
- 0.8800
- Talon locks
- 1
- Confidence
- 66%
- Horizon
- 4h
- Exit
- Kestrel Talon
- The same trade held
- +1.17
- Opened
- Closed
Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.
Replay
The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.
Kestrel Talon
- 0.9050next
- 0.9135locked 01:38:55 UTC
- 0.9141safety stop
Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.9141, +0.14% locked
Why Kestrel called it
FIL is in a downtrend: 1d closed at 0.925 down 9.27% in 24h with RSI 40.28 and price 10.32% below EMA20 (1.0314). The 4h frame shows ADX 33.65 with price 13.02% below EMA200 (1.0635), confirming strong downward direction. Both 1h and 4h show clear bearish momentum with RSI in the 30s and 40s. The 5m also leans down. Price sits at 4h range20_position 0.215, near recent lows. A tight stop above the 1h high 0.9305 manages risk effectively.
What would undo it
Price closes above 0.9305 on the 4h, invalidating the short thesis.
What drove it
- 1 h move, rank 26 of 99
- 24 h move, rank 54 of 99
- Funding +0.0072%
Orders
- Sell order placed 0.9154
- Sell filled 0.9154
- Safety stop placed 0.9305
- Exit order cancelled 0.9135: costs covered, breakeven
- Exit moved 0.9305 to 0.9137: milestone 1 00
- Exit moved 0.9137 to 0.9111: milestone 3 50
- Exit filled 0.9111
Every re-read
- stronger71%0.9167
- unchanged64%0.9143
Simulated, paper only, not advice