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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 3.3x

FIL Short signal

KuCoinPerpetual, 3.3x leverage, USDTTrend follow · FILUSDTWin +2.72
Entry
0.9154
Stop
0.9305
Target
0.8800
Talon locks
1
Confidence
66%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+1.17
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.9050next
  2. 0.9135locked 01:38:55 UTC
  3. 0.9141safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.9141, +0.14% locked

Why Kestrel called it

FIL is in a downtrend: 1d closed at 0.925 down 9.27% in 24h with RSI 40.28 and price 10.32% below EMA20 (1.0314). The 4h frame shows ADX 33.65 with price 13.02% below EMA200 (1.0635), confirming strong downward direction. Both 1h and 4h show clear bearish momentum with RSI in the 30s and 40s. The 5m also leans down. Price sits at 4h range20_position 0.215, near recent lows. A tight stop above the 1h high 0.9305 manages risk effectively.

What would undo it

Price closes above 0.9305 on the 4h, invalidating the short thesis.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 26 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 54 of 99
  • Funding +0.0072%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.9154
  2. Sell filled 0.9154
  3. Safety stop placed 0.9305
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.9135: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.9305 to 0.9137: milestone 1 00
  6. Exit moved 0.9137 to 0.9111: milestone 3 50
  7. Exit filled 0.9111

Every re-read

  1. stronger71%0.9167
  2. unchanged64%0.9143

Simulated, paper only, not advice