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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 2.8x

FIL Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 2.8x leverage, USDTTrend follow · FILUSDTScratch 0.00
Entry
0.9067
Stop
0.9246
Target
0.8700
Talon locks
1
Confidence
67%
Horizon
4h
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.28
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.8976next
  2. 0.9052locked 03:49:59 UTC
  3. 0.9057safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.9057, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

FIL trades near the 4h 20-bar low of 0.9045 with strong downtrend confirmed by 4h RSI 34.5 and ADX 33.7. Price 2.78% below 4h EMA20 at 0.9514. Daily down 9.27%, 1h RSI 47.6 shows early weakness. 5m, 1h and 4h all trend down. Weekly stochastic near oversold territory, risk of flush to 0.8954 support.

What would undo it

Close above 0.9246 on 4h invalidates this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 11 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 77 of 99
  • Funding +0.0072%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.9067
  2. Sell filled 0.9067
  3. Safety stop placed 0.9246
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.9052: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.9246 to 0.9057: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 0.9057

Every re-read

  1. weaker62%0.9129
  2. weaker60%0.9157
  3. unchanged68%0.9109
  4. unchanged68%0.9118
  5. weaker62%0.9119
  6. unchanged64%0.9103
  7. weaker59%0.9085
  8. unchanged68%0.9088
  9. unchanged63%0.9113
  10. weaker62%0.9118
  11. weaker62%0.9100
  12. unchanged65%0.9109

Simulated, paper only, not advice