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kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

Back to the Eye

All signals

Leverage 2.5x

FIL Short signal

BitunixPerpetual, 2.5x leverage, USDTTrend follow · FILUSDTScratch 0.00
Entry
0.9129
Stop
0.9330
Target
0.8800
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.37
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.9032next
  2. 0.9109locked 02:10:29 UTC
  3. 0.9116safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.9116, +0.15% locked

Why Kestrel called it

FIL down 9.3% on 1d, 12.2% on 4h, with ADX 33.6 on 4h and 39.5 on 1h confirming strong trend. All EMAs slope negative; price sits at 2.1% of the 20-bar low on 4h. RSI 34.5 on 4h and 38.9 on 1h, not yet oversold. Book imbalance negative at all depths. Low funding at 0.008% per 8h gives longs no cost edge.

What would undo it

A close above 0.9330 on the 1h chart would negate the downtrend and invalidate this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 11 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 75 of 99
  • Funding +0.0071%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.9129
  2. Sell filled 0.9129
  3. Safety stop placed 0.9330
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.9109: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.9330 to 0.9116: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 0.9116

Every re-read

  1. unchanged60%0.9157

Simulated, paper only, not advice