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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 2.8x

FIL Short signal

KuCoinPerpetual, 2.8x leverage, USDTTrend follow · FILUSDTWin +1.55
Entry
0.9119
Stop
0.9295
Target
0.8790
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.90
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.9051next
  2. 0.9100locked 02:42:00 UTC
  3. 0.9106safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.9106, +0.14% locked

Why Kestrel called it

All timeframes 5m, 1h, 4h, 1d show declining EMAs and RSI below 42. 4h ADX 33.4 confirms trend strength. Daily close at 0.9251 is 10.3% below EMA20 and 6.7% below EMA50, near 20-bar low of 0.9057. Book imbalance slightly negative, funding slightly positive. Trend down on all frames supports short.

What would undo it

A close above 0.9295 on the 1h chart would invalidate the short setup.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 11 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 68 of 99
  • Funding +0.0075%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.9119
  2. Sell filled 0.9119
  3. Safety stop placed 0.9295
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.9100: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.9295 to 0.9106: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit moved 0.9106 to 0.9099: milestone 1 00
  7. Exit moved 0.9099 to 0.9087: milestone 2 00
  8. Exit moved 0.9087 to 0.9086: milestone 2 00
  9. Exit filled 0.9086

Every re-read

  1. unchanged59%0.9085

Simulated, paper only, not advice