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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 1.5x

HYPE Short signal

BinancePerpetual, 1.5x leverage, USDTTrend follow · HYPEUSDTScratch 0.00
Entry
75.680
Stop
77.570
Target
72.500
Talon locks
1
Confidence
60%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+0.27
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 75.045next
  2. 75.559locked 04:33:59 UTC
  3. 75.599safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 75.599, +0.11% locked

Why Kestrel called it

All frames 1h through 1d are in downtrend: 4h RSI 37, price -3.85% vs EMA50, EMA20 slope -0.44%. Daily down 12.9% over 24h, range20 position 0.09, BB %B 0.176. 5m is flat but not reversing. HyperEVM suspension/resumption adds uncertainty. Short funding 0.004% per 8h is negligible.

What would undo it

A close above 77.57 (4h 20-bar high) would invalidate the short setup.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 51 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 52 of 99
  • Funding +0.0013%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 75.680
  2. Sell filled 75.680
  3. Safety stop placed 77.570
  4. Exit order cancelled 75.559: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 77.570 to 75.599: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit filled 75.599

Every re-read

Kestrel did not re-read this one.

Simulated, paper only, not advice