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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Leverage 6.3x

LTC Short signal

KuCoinPerpetual, 6.3x leverage, USDTTrend follow · LTCUSDTWin +7.70
Entry
56.720
Stop
57.350
Target
54.900
Talon locks
1
Confidence
62%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+1.59
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 56.070next
  2. 56.595locked 01:36:00 UTC
  3. 56.637safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 56.637, +0.15% locked

Why Kestrel called it

Daily ADX 30.91 confirms downtrend; price -16.69% over 24 bars, sitting at 0.107 of 20-bar range. 4h EMA20 slope -0.841%, RSI 39.22, price -1.36% below EMA20 and -3.52% below EMA50. 1h is near flat but below EMA50; short aligns across 4h and 1d. 5m momentum weak.

What would undo it

A close above 57.35 on the 4h chart, reclaiming the EMA20, would invalidate this short.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 53 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 32 of 99
  • Funding +0.0082%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 56.720
  2. Sell filled 56.720
  3. Safety stop placed 57.350
  4. Exit order cancelled 56.595: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 57.350 to 56.637: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit moved 56.637 to 56.620: milestone 2 00
  7. Exit moved 56.620 to 56.520: milestone 4 50
  8. Exit moved 56.520 to 56.360: milestone 9 00
  9. Exit filled 56.360

Every re-read

  1. stronger68%56.940
  2. unchanged62%56.780
  3. unchanged60%56.810

Simulated, paper only, not advice