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KESTREL

kestrel@atheron:/eye/history$

// Kestrel Eye

Signal history

Every call, kept.

Every signal Kestrel has published, win or lose, with the Kestrel Talon rungs it locked and its result after fees at 100 a trade. A leverage trade also shows the same trade held. Paper only, not advice.

All signals

Perp

WLD Short signal

BitunixPerpetual, USDTTrend follow · WLDUSDTWin +2.23
Entry
0.4580
Stop
0.4730
Target
0.4321
Talon locks
2
Confidence
60%
Horizon
1d
Exit
Kestrel Talon
The same trade held
+1.93
Opened
Closed

Against the same trade held: for a long, holding the coin; for a short, shorting it at the signal and holding to the end.

Replay

The price from an hour before the signal to its close, with the Kestrel Talon rungs as they locked.

Kestrel Talon

  1. 0.4482next
  2. 0.4547locked 22:11:56 UTC
  3. 0.4570locked 22:04:24 UTC
  4. 0.4551safety stop

Closed by the Kestrel Talon at 0.4551, +0.64% locked

Why Kestrel called it

4h RSI at 30.94 with ADX 32.87 confirms a strong downtrend; price is 7.2% below 4h EMA20 and 10.73% below EMA50, both steeply declining. 1d close near 20-bar low (range position 0.088), down 12.44% in 24h. 1h momentum briefly bounced but EMA50 still falling at -0.789% per bar. Order book imbalance at 1pct is -0.258, skewed to asks.

What would undo it

A 4h close above 0.4730 (4h 20-bar high) would invalidate the short bias.

What drove it

  • 1 h move, rank 94 of 99
  • 24 h move, rank 95 of 99
  • Funding -0.0069%

Orders

  1. Sell order placed 0.4580
  2. Sell filled 0.4580
  3. Safety stop placed 0.4730
  4. Exit order cancelled 0.4570: costs covered, breakeven
  5. Exit moved 0.4730 to 0.4574: costs covered, breakeven
  6. Exit moved 0.4574 to 0.4570: milestone 0 50
  7. Exit moved 0.4570 to 0.4560: milestone 1 00
  8. Exit moved 0.4560 to 0.4551: milestone 1 50
  9. Exit order cancelled 0.4551: rung 2
  10. Exit order cancelled 0.4547: rung 2
  11. Exit moved 0.4551 to 0.4542: milestone 2 00
  12. Exit moved 0.4542 to 0.4533: milestone 2 50
  13. Exit filled 0.4533

Every re-read

  1. stronger68%0.4551
  2. stronger68%0.4558
  3. stronger68%0.4569
  4. unchanged58%0.4555
  5. unchanged61%0.4557
  6. unchanged62%0.4565
  7. stronger68%0.4561
  8. stronger72%0.4558
  9. stronger68%0.4562
  10. unchanged62%0.4549
  11. stronger68%0.4549
  12. stronger72%0.4556
  13. stronger68%0.4544
  14. stronger68%0.4542
  15. unchanged62%0.4544
  16. stronger68%0.4532
  17. unchanged62%0.4525
  18. stronger68%0.4538
  19. stronger68%0.4530
  20. unchanged62%0.4537
  21. unchanged62%0.4540
  22. stronger71%0.4529
  23. stronger68%0.4507
  24. stronger68%0.4516
  25. unchanged62%0.4546

Simulated, paper only, not advice